Flamengo vs Bayern Munich
Flamengo raised eyebrows when they became one of the few undefeated teams after the 2025 Club World Cup group stage. With two wins and one draw, Filipe Luis’ men are at the top of Group D, with Chelsea right behind them as the second seed with six points.
Up next for the Rubro-Negro is a difficult match against Bayern Munich in the Round of 16. Flamengo drew the reigning Bundesliga champions, as Vincent Kompany’s side finished second in Group C with six points, one point behind Benfica.
Bayern Munich missed out on the top berth after losing by a single goal against their Portuguese counterparts last Wednesday. However, some believe this may be a blessing in disguise for Die Bayern because Flamengo are deemed a lesser team compared to Chelsea.
Flamengo may be the weaker team on paper, but anything can happen in an elimination game, and SBOTOP football fans in Miami are guaranteed to be entertained this Sunday.
Talking Points
Flamengo’s defense will be put to the test
If Flamengo upset Bayern this Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, it’ll likely be on the back of another resolute defensive performance. The Rubro-Negro have one of the highest defensive line presses, according to the CIES Football Observatory, as they go by an average of 59.04 meters away from their own goal, which is well past the halfway line. In 2025, Filipe Luis’ team has conceded just 19 goals in 38 matches – an average of 0.5 per game.
In the 2025 Club World Cup, Flamengo scored six goals while conceding only two on the other end. Ayrton Lucas, Leo Pereira, Danilo, and Wesley Franca have formed a solid back four, covering goalkeeper Agustin Rossi.
During their 1-1 draw against LAFC, Flamengo rotated their squad because they’re already clinched their spot in the knockouts, and most of their key players will return to the fold against Bayern Munich, with Ayrton Lucas, Leo Pereira, and Wesley Franca among them. Gerson, Erick Pulgar, and Jorginho should also return in midfield.
Bayern Munich will likely have Giorgian De Arrascaeta on top of their scouting report, as the Uruguayan playmaker has carried his form into this tournament. The 31-year-old is the Brazilian Serie A’s top scorer with nine goals in nine games. He scored the team’s first goal of the tournament days after scoring a big goal for Uruguay in World Cup qualifying.
Olise can help Kane get going for Bayern
Michael Olise has made the 2025 Club World Cup his playground, notching three goals and two assists during the group stage. He, Harry Kane, and Kingsley Coman took the day off against Benfica, so they should return as Bayern Munich’s front three against Flamengo. Meanwhile, Jonathan Tah is set to come in at the back, while Jamal Musiala could start for the first time in this competition.
Kane has scored 83 goals in 94 competitive appearances for Bayern Munich since signing from Tottenham in the summer of 2023. Surprisingly, he only has one goal so far in this tournament.
History
Sunday marks the first-ever competitive encounter between Flamengo and Bayern Munich. These two clubs are regulars in the Club World Cup, with Bayern winning two trophies in 2013 and 2020, and Flamengo finishing as runners-up in 2019 (against Liverpool) as their best tournament placing.
Flamengo are undefeated in their last 11 games across all competitions (W8, D3). They just conceded five goals in that sequence. Meanwhile, Bayern Munich’s recent result against Benfica was their first defeat since losing the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal with Inter Milan back at the start of April.
Betting Tip
To answer the question above, no, it is unlikely that Flamengo will upset Bayern Munich in the Round of 16, and the Club World Cup 2025 odds agree. The reigning Bundesliga champions are 1.67 favorites to win, while Flamengo are 4.39 underdogs, and a draw after 90 minutes is at 3.65 in the 1X2 market.
While they’re at it, Flamengo and Bayern Munich are expected to put up new Club World Cup 2025 highlights, with the latter likely to score more goals. Besides our recommended bet, bettors can also add Over 2.50 at 1.71, Over 2.75 at 1.93, Over 3.00 at 2.16, and even Total Goal 4-6 at 2.88 to their parlay. On the other hand, a Correct Score of 1-0 in favor of Flamengo is interestingly on offer at 15.00, and many of their ardent supporters are probably going for that option.
A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:
⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)
⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)
⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.
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